Julian Chavarriaga: AUA26 Bayesian Reanalysis of 8 Phase III mHSPC Trials
Julian Chavarriaga/X

Julian Chavarriaga: AUA26 Bayesian Reanalysis of 8 Phase III mHSPC Trials

Julian Chavarriaga, Urologic Oncologist at Penn State Urology, shared a post on X:

AUA26 Bayesian reanalysis of 8 phase III mHSPC trials presented by Dr. Yoshida:

  • ARASENS, PEACE-1, ARANOTE, TITAN, ENZAMET, ARCHES, STAMPEDE, and LATITUDE
  • Triplet therapy (ADT + docetaxel + ARPI) vs modern doublets
  • No clear OS advantage overall — (HR 1.04)
  • Probability of ANY OS benefit: 36%
  • Probability of clinically meaningful benefit (HR<0.8): only 11%

Signal may exist in high-volume disease… but perhaps less than many expected.”

To which Charles Jiang, Medical Oncologist at UT Southwestern Medical Center, added:

“Understand the motive, but….

These trials across different eras, populations, volume def, control arms, sequencing, and subsequent therapy — without biomarkers or individual-level data.

And if the target is “triplet for everyone,” that is already not how many of us practice…”

Charles Jiang also added:

“The bigger question: why don’t we have patient-level data from these landmark, practice-changing trials?

With a real open-data mandate for top journals, we might have answered “who truly benefits from triplet ?” years ago — instead of trying the answer via indirect reanalyses”

Julian Chavarriaga

Other articles featuring Julian Chavarriaga and Charles Jiang on OncoDaily.