Armando Orlandi, Medical Director at the Agostino Gemelli University Hospital Foundation IRCCS, shared a post on LinkedIn:
“I have always loved Mark Haddon.
In ‘The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time’, Christopher Boone – a teenager with Asperger’s syndrome – refuses to accept comfortable answers. Armed with relentless logic, he uncovers a truth everyone around him had chosen not to see.
I thought of Christopher while reading DESTINY-Breast11 – because here too, at (DESTINY-Breast) Eleven O’Clock, something was killed: the T-DXd monotherapy arm, one of the most exciting innovations in HER2+ breast cancer of the last two decades.
The verdict: T-DXd inferior to ddAC-THP (ΔpCR –13.2%, p=0.001): the trial used a two-sided α=0.02, and with p=0.001 it formally and statistically demonstrates inferiority of T-DXd. That is a strong claim.
Case closed. Drug buried.
Which is precisely why the misclassification bias matters so much:
- The arm was closed despite passing the prespecified futility boundary (ΔpCR ,<-15%).
- 36 patients (12.6%) who switched to local standard of care were automatically classified as non-responders – regardless of actual pathological response.
- Correcting this bias produces an 8.4 pp swing – enough to make both corrective analyses statistically non-significant (CI crossing zero).
T-DXd monotherapy was not proven inferior. It was proven inconclusive. There is an enormous difference between the two.
The scientific question remains open – and rightly so. Trials such as ARIADNE, SHAMROCK, and EXTEND will provide cleaner answers.
In the meantime, I invite you to do two things:
- Read (or re-read) ‘The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time’ – one of the most beautiful books of the last twenty years, and a masterclass in critical thinking and intellectual courage.
- Read my letter and ask yourself the same questions Christopher would have asked. Because in science, as in detective fiction, the uncomfortable questions are often the most important ones.”
Title: The Curious Incident of the T-DXd Arm Killed at (DESTINY-Breast) Eleven O’Clock: Statistical Concerns
Author: Armando Orlandi

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